Thesis

Street consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers

AI-assisted
Thesis Summary

My Size combines AI-driven sizing SaaS with overstock e-commerce, secondhand fashion and regional distribution. Revenue was $11.3 million in the TTM period ended 30 Jun 2026, and gross margin improved to 34.2% from 32.0% in FY2025. The counterweight is substantial: the period produced a $7.6 million net loss and negative free cash flow of $4.9 million, while cash stood at $0.5 million and shareholders’ equity at $2.3 million on 30 Jun 2026. The filing also carried substantial doubt about continued operation and described a Nasdaq minimum-bid notice, with a 31 Aug 2026 compliance deadline and potential reverse split. A neutral view is warranted until margin gains hold through a full cycle. That view would become constructive if recurring software revenue and higher-margin channels support sustained positive cash generation without repeated financing, and cautious if liquidity weakens further, listing compliance remains unresolved or e-commerce platform dependence increases. Sources: 0001493152-26-016874#Financial Statements; 0001493152-26-037750#Financial Statements; 0001493152-26-037750#Going Concern; 0001493152-26-037750#Nasdaq Listing Compliance; 0001493152-26-037750#Business

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This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today.
Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 20 Jun 2026
Scenarios · 12-month scenario targetsAnchored at research date
Bear CaseDownside scenario

A cautious view is warranted because My Size remains loss-making, cash flow is negative and the filing carried substantial doubt about continued operation. At 30 Jun 2026, cash and equivalents were $0.5 million, shareholders’ equity was $2.3 million and the accumulated deficit was $73.0 million. Dependence on outside financing and third-party marketplaces compounds the Nasdaq compliance issue. That view would ease if the company secures durable liquidity, resolves listing compliance and demonstrates positive operating cash generation without curtailing product development. Sources: 0001493152-26-037750#Financial Statements; 0001493152-26-037750#Going Concern; 0001493152-26-037750#Nasdaq Listing Compliance; 0001493152-26-037750#Risk Factors

Base CaseCentral scenario

A neutral view is warranted until the margin gains hold through a full cycle. The base case rests on continued revenue development across sizing software and e-commerce, with gross margin at 34.2% for the TTM period ended 30 Jun 2026, offset by a $7.6 million net loss and negative free cash flow of $4.9 million. The view would strengthen if recurring software revenue supports sustained cash generation and would weaken if financing needs continue to dilute the operating progress or constrain investment. Sources: 0001493152-26-016874#Financial Statements; 0001493152-26-037750#Financial Statements; 0001493152-26-037750#Liquidity and Capital Resources

Bull CaseUpside scenario

Successful execution of the AI-driven roll-up strategy (e.g., integrating Naiz Fit, Percentil, and EyeFitU) drives high-margin SaaS revenue growth, leading to operating profitability in 2026 and successful compliance with Nasdaq listing rules.

Scenarios reflect our research view at the research date.

Key Investment Merits
  • Strong top-line revenue growth, with FY 2025 revenue up to $9.36 million and Q1 2026 revenue growing 62% year-over-year to $2.39 million.
  • Diversified business model combining high-margin SaaS sizing technology with high-volume e-commerce and circular fashion platforms.
  • Strategic positioning to benefit from European Union textile circularity and sustainability regulations through the Percentil recommerce platform.
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Key Investment Risks
  • Severe liquidity and going concern risk, with cash reserves of only $0.91 million as of March 31, 2026, against a quarterly operating cash burn of $2.07 million.
  • Immediate Nasdaq delisting risk if the closing bid price does not reach $1.00 for 10 consecutive business days by August 31, 2026.
  • Continuous shareholder dilution from the active At-The-Market (ATM) equity offering used to fund ongoing operations.
  • Execution and integration risks associated with a rapid roll-up acquisition strategy of multiple unprofitable business units.
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Thesis Invalidation Triggers
  1. Securing a major strategic partnership or non-dilutive licensing agreement that provides a substantial cash runway.
  2. Achieving operating profitability and positive cash flow ahead of management's current timeline.
  3. Failure to obtain stockholder approval for the reverse stock split, leading to immediate Nasdaq delisting.
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All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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AI-assisted, source-linked narrative; figures from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market data. Dates shown per section. Not investment advice. Terms of Use.